000 ABPZ20 KNHC 141731 TWOEP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 1100 AM PDT WED SEP 14 2011 FOR THE EASTERN NORTH PACIFIC...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE.. AN AREA OF DISTURBED WEATHER CONTINUES A FEW HUNDRED MILES SOUTH-SOUTHEAST OF ACAPULCO MEXICO. THE ASSOCIATED SHOWER ACTIVITY IS CURRENTLY POORLY ORGANIZED...AND UPPER-LEVEL WINDS ARE NOT EXPECTED TO BE CONDUCIVE FOR SIGNIFICANT DEVELOPMENT. THIS SYSTEM HAS A LOW CHANCE...10 PERCENT...OF BECOMING A TROPICAL CYCLONE DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS AS IT MOVES TOWARD THE WEST AT ABOUT 10 MPH. ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS. $$ FORECASTER BEVEN