000
ABPZ20 KNHC 101743
TWOEP 

TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
1100 AM PDT SAT SEP 10 2011

FOR THE EASTERN NORTH PACIFIC...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE..

SHOWER AND THUNDERSTORM ACTIVITY CONTINUES IN ASSOCIATION WITH AN
AREA OF LOW PRESSURE LOCATED ABOUT 725 MILES SOUTHWEST OF THE
SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA. SOME DEVELOPMENT OF THIS SYSTEM
IS POSSIBLE OVER THE NEXT DAY OR SO BEFORE IT MOVES SLOWLY
NORTHWARD TOWARD COOLER WATERS. THIS SYSTEM HAS A MEDIUM CHANCE...
30 PERCENT...OF BECOMING A TROPICAL CYCLONE DURING THE NEXT 48
HOURS.

A WEAK AREA OF LOW PRESSURE LOCATED ABOUT 1550 MILES WEST-SOUTHWEST
OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA IS PRODUCING DISORGANIZED
SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. ANY DEVELOPMENT OF THIS SYSTEM SHOULD
BE SLOW TO OCCUR AS IT MOVES LITTLE OVER THE NEXT COUPLE OF
DAYS. THIS SYSTEM HAS A LOW CHANCE...10 PERCENT...OF BECOMING A
TROPICAL CYCLONE DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS.

ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED DURING THE
NEXT 48 HOURS.

$$
FORECASTER BROWN/BRENNAN