000 ABPZ20 KNHC 061747 TWOEP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 1100 AM PDT TUE SEP 6 2011 FOR THE EASTERN NORTH PACIFIC...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE.. A LARGE BUT DISORGANIZED AREA OF DISTURBED WEATHER ASSOCIATED WITH A NEARLY STATIONARY AREA OF LOW PRESSURE IS CENTERED ABOUT 275 MILES SOUTH-SOUTHEAST OF MANZANILLO MEXICO. THIS DISTURBANCE HAS A LOW CHANCE...10 PERCENT...OF BECOMING A TROPICAL CYCLONE DURING THE NEXT FEW DAYS TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS. $$ FORECASTER AVILA