000
ABPZ20 KNHC 311134
TWOEP 

TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
500 AM PDT WED AUG 31 2011

FOR THE EASTERN NORTH PACIFIC...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE..

SATELLITE PICTURES INDICATE THAT SHOWER ACTIVITY REMAINS
CONCENTRATED NEAR THE CENTER OF A LOW PRESSURE AREA CENTERED ABOUT
60 MILES WEST-SOUTHWEST OF ZIHUATANEJO MEXICO...AND A TROPICAL
DEPRESSION MAY BE FORMING. IF CURRENT TRENDS CONTINUE...ADVISORIES
WOULD BE INITIATED LATER THIS MORNING. THIS SYSTEM HAS A HIGH
CHANCE...90 PERCENT...OF BECOMING A TROPICAL CYCLONE DURING THE
NEXT 48 HOURS AS IT MOVES SLOWLY WEST-NORTHWESTWARD TO
NORTHWESTWARD AT 5 TO 10 MPH. REGARDLESS OF DEVELOPMENT...LOCALLY
HEAVY RAINS ARE LIKELY OVER COASTAL SECTIONS OF THE MEXICAN STATES
OF GUERRERO...MICHOACAN...AND COLIMA THROUGH THURSDAY. INTERESTS IN
THESE AREAS AND THE SOUTHERN BAJA PENINSULA SHOULD CONTINUE TO
MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF THIS DISTURBANCE.

ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED DURING THE
NEXT 48 HOURS.

$$
FORECASTER KIMBERLAIN