000
ABPZ20 KNHC 310545
TWOEP 

TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
1100 PM PDT TUE AUG 30 2011

FOR THE EASTERN NORTH PACIFIC...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE..

SHOWER ACTIVITY HAS BECOME MORE CONCENTRATED NEAR THE CENTER OF A
LOW PRESSURE AREA CENTERED ABOUT 60 MILES SOUTH OF ZIHUATANEJO
MEXICO.  IF CURRENT TRENDS CONTINUE...A TROPICAL DEPRESSION COULD
FORM LATER TODAY AS THE SYSTEM DRIFTS TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST
HUGGING THE SOUTHWEST COAST OF MEXICO.  THIS SYSTEM HAS A HIGH
CHANCE...80 PERCENT...OF BECOMING A TROPICAL CYCLONE DURING THE
NEXT 48 HOURS.  REGARDLESS OF DEVELOPMENT...LOCALLY HEAVY RAINS ARE
POSSIBLE OVER COASTAL SECTIONS OF THE MEXICAN STATES OF GUERRERO...
MICHOACAN...AND COLIMA THROUGH THURSDAY. INTERESTS IN THESE AREAS
SHOULD CONTINUE TO MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF THIS DISTURBANCE.

ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED DURING THE
NEXT 48 HOURS.

$$
FORECASTER BEVEN