000
ABPZ20 KNHC 302331
TWOEP 

TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
500 PM PDT TUE AUG 30 2011

FOR THE EASTERN NORTH PACIFIC...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE..

A BROAD AREA OF LOW PRESSURE CENTERED JUST OFF THE COAST OF
ZIHUATANEJO IS PRODUCING NUMEROUS SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS ALONG
THE SOUTHWEST COAST OF MEXICO AND THE ADJACENT WATERS. THIS
DISTURBANCE HAS NOT BECOME ANY BETTER ORGANIZED DURING THE PAST FEW
HOURS BUT THERE IS POTENTIAL FOR THIS SYSTEM TO BECOME A TROPICAL
DEPRESSION AS IT MOVES SLOWLY TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST HUGGING THE
SOUTHWEST COAST OF MEXICO. THIS SYSTEM HAS A HIGH CHANCE...60
PERCENT...OF BECOMING A TROPICAL CYCLONE DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS.
REGARDLESS OF DEVELOPMENT...LOCALLY HEAVY RAINS ARE POSSIBLE OVER
COASTAL SECTIONS OF THE MEXICAN STATES OF GUERRERO...MICHOACAN...
AND COLIMA THROUGH THURSDAY. INTERESTS IN THESE AREAS SHOULD
CONTINUE TO MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF THIS DISTURBANCE.

ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED DURING THE
NEXT 48 HOURS.

$$
FORECASTER AVILA