000
ABPZ20 KNHC 301146
TWOEP 

TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
500 AM PDT TUE AUG 30 2011

FOR THE EASTERN NORTH PACIFIC...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE..

SHOWER ACTIVITY ASSOCIATED WITH AN AREA OF LOW PRESSURE LOCATED
ABOUT 75 MILES SOUTH-SOUTHWEST OF ZIHUATANEJO MEXICO HAVE CHANGED
LITTLE IN ORGANIZATION IN RECENT HOURS. EXCEPT FOR THE PROXIMITY OF
THIS DISTURBANCE TO LAND...ENVIRONMENTAL CONDITIONS APPEAR
CONDUCIVE FOR ADDITIONAL DEVELOPMENT DURING THE NEXT COUPLE OF
DAYS. THIS SYSTEM HAS A MEDIUM CHANCE...50 PERCENT...OF BECOMING A
TROPICAL CYCLONE DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS AS IT MOVES SLOWLY
WEST-NORTHWESTWARD AT 5 TO 10 MPH. REGARDLESS OF DEVELOPMENT...
LOCALLY HEAVY RAINS ARE POSSIBLE OVER COASTAL SECTIONS OF THE
MEXICAN STATES OF GUERRERO...MICHOACAN... AND COLIMA THROUGH
WEDNESDAY. INTERESTS IN THESE AREAS SHOULD MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF
THIS DISTURBANCE.

ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED DURING THE
NEXT 48 HOURS.

$$
FORECASTER KIMBERLAIN