000
ABPZ20 KNHC 300534
TWOEP 

TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
1100 PM PDT MON AUG 29 2011

FOR THE EASTERN NORTH PACIFIC...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE..

SHOWERS AND A FEW THUNDERSTORMS ASSOCIATED WITH AN AREA OF LOW
PRESSURE CENTERED ABOUT 100 MILES SOUTH-SOUTHWEST OF ACAPULCO
MEXICO HAVE CHANGED LITTLE IN ORGANIZATION DURING THE PAST SEVERAL
HOURS. HOWEVER...SURFACE OBSERVATIONS AND SATELLITE IMAGERY
INDICATE THAT THE LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION HAS BECOME A LITTLE BETTER
DEFINED THIS EVENING. EXCEPT FOR THE PROXIMITY OF THIS SYSTEM TO
LAND...ENVIRONMENTAL CONDITIONS APPEAR CONDUCIVE FOR ADDITIONAL
DEVELOPMENT OVER THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS. THIS SYSTEM HAS A MEDIUM
CHANCE...50 PERCENT...OF BECOMING A TROPICAL CYCLONE DURING THE
NEXT 48 HOURS AS IT MOVES SLOWLY WEST-NORTHWESTWARD AT 5 TO 10 MPH.
REGARDLESS OF DEVELOPMENT...LOCALLY HEAVY RAINS ARE POSSIBLE NEAR
COASTAL SECTIONS OF THE MEXICAN STATES OF GUERRERO...MICHOACAN...
AND COLIMA THROUGH WEDNESDAY.

ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED DURING THE
NEXT 48 HOURS.

$$
FORECASTER BRENNAN