000
ABPZ20 KNHC 291747
TWOEP 

TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
1100 AM PDT MON AUG 29 2011

FOR THE EASTERN NORTH PACIFIC...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE..

A LARGE AREA OF DISORGANIZED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS EXTENDS FROM
NEAR THE SOUTHWEST COAST OF MEXICO SOUTHWESTWARD FOR SEVERAL
HUNDRED MILES.  ENVIRONMENTAL CONDITIONS APPEAR CONDUCIVE FOR
GRADUAL DEVELOPMENT OF THIS DISTURBANCE DURING THE NEXT COUPLE OF
DAYS.  THIS SYSTEM HAS A LOW CHANCE...20 PERCENT...OF BECOMING A
TROPICAL CYCLONE DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS AS IT MOVES S.

$$
FORECASTER KIMBERLAIN