000 ABPZ20 KNHC 240555 TWOEP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 1100 PM PDT TUE AUG 23 2011 FOR THE EASTERN NORTH PACIFIC...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE.. SHOWER AND THUNDERSTORM ACTIVITY IS MINIMAL IN ASSOCIATION WITH A WEAK LOW PRESSURE AREA LOCATED ABOUT 250 MILES SOUTH OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA. SINCE THE LOW IS EXPECTED TO REACH COOLER WATERS WITHIN 24 HOURS...SIGNIFICANT DEVELOPMENT OF THIS DISTURBANCE SEEMS UNLIKELY. THIS SYSTEM HAS A LOW CHANCE...10 PERCENT...OF BECOMING A TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER THE NEXT 48 HOURS. ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS. $$ FORECASTER KIMBERLAIN