000
ABPZ20 KNHC 220543
TWOEP 

TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
1100 PM PDT SUN AUG 21 2011

FOR THE EASTERN NORTH PACIFIC...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE..

AN AREA OF LOW PRESSURE LOCATED ABOUT 450 MILES SOUTH-SOUTHWEST OF
MANZANILLO IS PRODUCING LIMITED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WELL TO
THE NORTHWEST OF THE CENTER OF CIRCULATION.  STRONG UPPER-LEVEL
WINDS ARE EXPECTED TO INHIBIT DEVELOPMENT...AND THIS SYSTEM HAS A
LOW CHANCE...NEAR 0 PERCENT...OF BECOMING A TROPICAL CYCLONE AS IT
DRIFTS NORTHWARD DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS.

A WEAK AREA OF LOW PRESSURE LOCATED ABOUT 100 MILES SOUTHEAST OF
PUERTO ANGEL MEXICO IS PRODUCING MINIMAL AND DISORGANIZED SHOWER
AND THUNDERSTORM ACTIVITY.  UPPER-LEVEL WINDS ARE NOT EXPECTED TO
BE CONDUCIVE FOR DEVELOPMENT...AND THERE IS A LOW CHANCE...NEAR 0
PERCENT...OF THIS SYSTEM BECOMING A TROPICAL CYCLONE DURING THE
NEXT 48 HOURS AS IT MOVES WESTWARD BETWEEN 5 AND 10 MPH.

ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED DURING THE
NEXT 48 HOURS.

$$
FORECASTER BERG