000 ABPZ20 KNHC 212352 TWOEP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 500 PM PDT SUN AUG 21 2011 FOR THE EASTERN NORTH PACIFIC...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE.. SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS REMAIN POORLY ORGANIZED IN ASSOCIATION WITH AN ELONGATED AREA OF LOW PRESSURE LOCATED ABOUT 450 MILES SOUTH-SOUTHWEST OF MANZANILLO MEXICO. STRONG UPPER-LEVEL WINDS OVER THIS LOW WILL LIKELY INHIBIT ANY DEVELOPMENT. THIS SYSTEM HAS A LOW CHANCE...NEAR 0 PERCENT...OF BECOMING A TROPICAL CYCLONE AS IT MOVES LITTLE DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS. A WEAK AREA OF LOW PRESSURE LOCATED A FEW HUNDRED MILES EAST-SOUTHEAST OF ACAPULCO MEXICO IS PRODUCING DISORGANIZED CLOUDINESS AND SHOWERS. DEVELOPMENT...IF ANY...OF THIS DISTURBANCE IS EXPECTED TO BE SLOW TO OCCUR. THIS SYSTEM HAS A LOW CHANCE...10 PERCENT...OF BECOMING A TROPICAL CYCLONE DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS AS IT MOVES SLOWLY WESTWARD. ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS. $$ FORECASTER CANGIALOSI