000
ABPZ20 KNHC 211158
TWOEP 

TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
500 AM PDT SUN AUG 21 2011

FOR THE EASTERN NORTH PACIFIC...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE..

THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER IS ISSUING ADVISORIES ON TROPICAL
DEPRESSION GREG...LOCATED ABOUT 795 MILES WEST OF THE SOUTHERN TIP
OF BAJA CALIFORNIA.

SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS ASSOCIATED WITH AN ELONGATED AREA OF LOW
PRESSURE LOCATED ABOUT 425 MILES SOUTH OF MANZANILLO MEXICO HAVE
CHANGED LITTLE IN ORGANIZATION OVER THE PAST SEVERAL HOURS.  STRONG
UPPER-LEVEL WINDS OVER THIS SYSTEM ARE EXPECTED TO INCREASE FURTHER
OVER THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS AND WILL LIKELY NOT BE CONDUCIVE FOR
DEVELOPMENT.  THIS SYSTEM HAS A LOW CHANCE...10 PERCENT...OF
BECOMING A TROPICAL CYCLONE AS IT DRIFTS GENERALLY NORTHWESTWARD
DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS.

ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED DURING THE
NEXT 48 HOURS.

$$
FORECASTER PASCH