000
ABPZ20 KNHC 202341
TWOEP 

TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
500 PM PDT SAT AUG 20 2011

FOR THE EASTERN NORTH PACIFIC...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE..

THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER IS ISSUING ADVISORIES ON TROPICAL
STORM GREG...LOCATED ABOUT 710 MILES WEST-SOUTHWEST OF THE SOUTHERN
TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA.

A NEARLY STATIONARY ELONGATED AREA OF LOW PRESSURE LOCATED ABOUT 475
MILES SOUTH OF MANZANILLO MEXICO IS PRODUCING DISORGANIZED SHOWERS
AND THUNDERSTORMS...MAINLY ALONG ITS SOUTHERN EDGE.  UPPER-LEVEL
WINDS ARE NOT EXPECTED TO BE CONDUCIVE FOR DEVELOPMENT DURING THE
NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS...AND THIS SYSTEM HAS A LOW CHANCE...10
PERCENT...OF BECOMING A TROPICAL CYCLONE DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS.

ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED DURING THE
NEXT 48 HOURS.

$$
FORECASTER WROE/BRENNAN