000
ABPZ20 KNHC 161140
TWOEP 

TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
500 AM PDT TUE AUG 16 2011

FOR THE EASTERN NORTH PACIFIC...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE..

THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER IS ISSUING ADVISORIES ON TROPICAL
DEPRESSION SIX-E...LOCATED ABOUT 1710 MILES WEST-SOUTHWEST
OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA. 

A BROAD AREA OF LOW PRESSURE LOCATED ABOUT 600 MILES SOUTHWEST OF
MANZANILLO MEXICO IS PRODUCING MINIMAL SHOWER ACTIVITY. 
UPPER-LEVEL WINDS DO NOT APPEAR TO BE FAVORABLE FOR SIGNIFICANT
DEVELOPMENT OF THIS LOW DURING THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS.  THIS
SYSTEM HAS A LOW CHANCE...10 PERCENT...OF BECOMING A TROPICAL
CYCLONE DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS AS IT MOVES WEST-NORTHWESTWARD AT
10 TO 15 MPH.

SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS HAVE BECOME MORE CONCENTRATED IN
ASSOCIATION WITH A LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM CENTERED A FEW HUNDRED MILES
SOUTHEAST OF ACAPULCO MEXICO. ENVIRONMENTAL CONDITIONS ARE FORECAST
TO BE CONDUCIVE FOR DEVELOPMENT...AND A TROPICAL DEPRESSION COULD
FORM DURING THE NEXT DAY OR TWO. THIS SYSTEM HAS A HIGH CHANCE...70
PERCENT...OF BECOMING A TROPICAL CYCLONE DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS
AS IT MOVES WEST-NORTHWESTWARD AT 10 TO 15 MPH.

ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED DURING THE
NEXT 48 HOURS.

PUBLIC ADVISORIES ON TROPICAL DEPRESSION SIX-E ARE ISSUED UNDER WMO
HEADER WTPZ31 KNHC AND UNDER AWIPS HEADER MIATCPEP1.
FORECAST/ADVISORIES ON TROPICAL DEPRESSION SIX-E ARE ISSUED UNDER
WMO HEADER WTPZ21 KNHC AND UNDER AWIPS HEADER MIATCMEP1.

$$
FORECASTER BLAKE/CANGIALOSI