000
ABPZ20 KNHC 160532
TWOEP 

TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
1100 PM PDT MON AUG 15 2011

FOR THE EASTERN NORTH PACIFIC...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE..

THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER IS ISSUING ADVISORIES ON TROPICAL
DEPRESSION SIX-E...LOCATED ABOUT 1690 MILES WEST-SOUTHWEST
OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA. 

A BROAD AREA OF LOW PRESSURE CENTERED ABOUT 625 MILES SOUTHWEST OF
MANZANILLO MEXICO REMAINS POORLY ORGANIZED...AND UPPER-LEVEL WINDS
DO NOT APPEAR TO BE FAVORABLE FOR ADDITIONAL DEVELOPMENT DURING THE
NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS.  THIS SYSTEM HAS A LOW CHANCE...10 PERCENT...
OF BECOMING A TROPICAL CYCLONE DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS AS IT MOVES
WEST-NORTHWESTWARD AT 10 TO 15 MPH.

CONCENTRATED CLOUDINESS AND THUNDERSTORMS ASSOCIATED WITH A LOW
PRESSURE SYSTEM ARE CENTERED ABOUT 280 MILES SOUTHEAST OF ACAPULCO
MEXICO. ENVIRONMENTAL CONDITIONS ARE FORECAST TO BE CONDUCIVE FOR 
DEVELOPMENT...AND A TROPICAL DEPRESSION COULD FORM DURING THE NEXT
DAY OR TWO. THIS SYSTEM HAS A MEDIUM CHANCE...50 PERCENT...OF
BECOMING A TROPICAL CYCLONE DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS.

ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED DURING THE
NEXT 48 HOURS.

PUBLIC ADVISORIES ON TROPICAL DEPRESSION SIX-E ARE ISSUED UNDER WMO
HEADER WTPZ31 KNHC AND UNDER AWIPS HEADER MIATCPEP1.
FORECAST/ADVISORIES ON TROPICAL DEPRESSION SIX-E ARE ISSUED UNDER
WMO HEADER WTPZ21 KNHC AND UNDER AWIPS HEADER MIATCMEP1.

$$
FORECASTER AVILA