000
ABPZ20 KNHC 022059
TWOEP 

SPECIAL TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
200 PM PDT TUE AUG 2 2011

SPECIAL OUTLOOK TO UPDATE DISCUSSION OF THE SYSTEM LOCATED SOUTH OF
PUERTO ANGEL MEXICO.

FOR THE EASTERN NORTH PACIFIC...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE..

THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER IS ISSUING ADVISORIES ON HURRICANE
EUGENE...LOCATED ABOUT 535 MILES SOUTHWEST OF MANZANILLO MEXICO.

UPDATED...SATELLITE IMAGERY INDICATES THAT THE AREA OF LOW PRESSURE
LOCATED ABOUT 130 MILES SOUTH OF PUERTO ANGEL MEXICO HAS BECOME
BETTER ORGANIZED OVER THE PAST FEW HOURS.  CONDITIONS APPEAR
FAVORABLE FOR CONTINUED DEVELOPMENT OF THIS SYSTEM...AND A TROPICAL
DEPRESSION COULD FORM TONIGHT OR WEDNESDAY.  THIS SYSTEM HAS A HIGH
CHANCE...70 PERCENT...OF BECOMING A TROPICAL CYCLONE DURING THE
NEXT 48 HOURS AS IT MOVES WESTWARD AT 5 TO 10 MPH.

ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED DURING THE
NEXT 48 HOURS. 

$$
FORECASTER CANGIALOSI/BRENNAN