000
ABPZ20 KNHC 021149
TWOEP 

TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
500 AM PDT TUE AUG 2 2011

FOR THE EASTERN NORTH PACIFIC...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE..

THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER IS ISSUING ADVISORIES ON HURRICANE
EUGENE...LOCATED ABOUT 445 MILES SOUTHWEST OF MANZANILLO MEXICO.

A LARGE AREA OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS EXTENDING FROM THE COAST
OF SOUTHERN MEXICO SOUTHWARD OVER THE PACIFIC FOR SEVERAL HUNDRED
MILES IS ASSOCIATED WITH A SMALL AREA OF LOW PRESSURE NEAR THE GULF
OF TEHUANTEPEC.  UPPER-LEVEL WINDS ARE MARGINALLY CONDUCIVE FOR
SOME DEVELOPMENT OF THIS SYSTEM AS IT MOVES SLOWLY WESTWARD AROUND
5 MPH.  THIS SYSTEM HAS A LOW CHANCE...20 PERCENT...OF BECOMING A
TROPICAL CYCLONE DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS.

ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED DURING THE
NEXT 48 HOURS. 

$$
FORECASTER BERG