000
ABPZ20 KNHC 301732
TWOEP 

TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
1100 AM PDT SAT JUL 30 2011

FOR THE EASTERN NORTH PACIFIC...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE..

SATELLITE PICTURES INDICATE THAT SHOWER AND THUNDERSTORM ACTIVITY
HAS INCREASED AND BECOME BETTER ORGANIZED IN ASSOCIATION WITH THE
LOW PRESSURE AREA ABOUT 500 MILES SOUTH-SOUTHEAST OF ACAPULCO
MEXICO. ALTHOUGH UPPER-LEVEL WINDS ARE ONLY MARGINALLY FAVORABLE...
SOME ADDITIONAL DEVELOPMENT OF THIS DISTURBANCE IS POSSIBLE DURING
THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS.  THIS SYSTEM HAS A MEDIUM CHANCE...40
PERCENT...OF BECOMING A TROPICAL CYCLONE AS IT MOVES WESTWARD TO
WEST-NORTHWESTWARD AT 10 MPH DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS.

SHOWER ACTIVITY HAS DIMINISHED IN ASSOCIATION WITH A SMALL LOW
PRESSURE SYSTEM LOCATED ABOUT 850 MILES SOUTH-SOUTHWEST OF THE
SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA.  ENVIRONMENTAL CONDITIONS HAVE
BECOME LESS FAVORABLE DURING THE LAST SEVERAL HOURS...AND
DEVELOPMENT IS NOT EXPECTED.  THIS SYSTEM HAS A LOW CHANCE...NEAR 0
PERCENT...OF BECOMING A TROPICAL CYCLONE DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS
AS IT MOVES SLOWLY WESTWARD OR WEST-SOUTHWARD.

ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED DURING THE
NEXT 48 HOURS. 

$$
FORECASTER KIMBERLAIN