000
ABPZ20 KNHC 301150
TWOEP 

TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
500 AM PDT SAT JUL 30 2011

FOR THE EASTERN NORTH PACIFIC...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE..

A WEAK AREA OF LOW PRESSURE LOCATED ABOUT 550 MILES SOUTH-SOUTHEAST
OF ACAPULCO MEXICO CONTINUES TO PRODUCE DISORGANIZED SHOWER
ACTIVITY. ALTHOUGH UPPER-LEVEL WINDS ARE NOT CONDUCIVE FOR
DEVELOPMENT...THEY COULD BECOME MORE FAVORABLE DURING THE NEXT DAY
OR SO.  THIS SYSTEM HAS A LOW CHANCE...10 PERCENT...OF BECOMING A
TROPICAL CYCLONE AS IT MOVES LITTLE OVER THE NEXT 48 HOURS.

SHOWER ACTIVITY HAS DECREASED IN ASSOCIATION WITH A SMALL LOW
PRESSURE SYSTEM LOCATED ABOUT 850 MILES SOUTH-SOUTHWEST OF THE
SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA. DEVELOPMENT...IF ANY...OF THIS
DISTURBANCE SHOULD BE SLOW TO OCCUR. THIS SYSTEM HAS A LOW
CHANCE...10 PERCENT...OF BECOMING A TROPICAL CYCLONE DURING THE
NEXT 48 HOURS AS IT MOVES SLOWLY WESTWARD OR WEST-SOUTHWARD.

ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED DURING THE
NEXT 48 HOURS. 

$$
FORECASTER KIMBERLAIN