000
ABPZ20 KNHC 300537
TWOEP 

TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
1100 PM PDT FRI JUL 29 2011

FOR THE EASTERN NORTH PACIFIC...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE..

A WEAK AREA OF LOW PRESSURE LOCATED ABOUT 500 MILES SOUTH-SOUTHEAST
OF ACAPULCO MEXICO CONTINUES TO PRODUCE DISORGANIZED SHOWER
ACTIVITY. ALTHOUGH UPPER-LEVEL WINDS ARE CURRENTLY NOT CONDUCIVE FOR
DEVELOPMENT...THEY COULD BECOME MORE FAVORABLE DURING THE NEXT DAY
OR SO.  THIS SYSTEM HAS A LOW CHANCE...10 PERCENT...OF BECOMING A
TROPICAL CYCLONE AS IT MOVES SLOWLY WESTWARD OVER THE NEXT 48 HOURS. 

A SMALL LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM LOCATED ABOUT 825 MILES SOUTH-SOUTHWEST
OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA IS PRODUCING LIMITED SHOWER
ACTIVITY.  ANY DEVELOPMENT OF THIS DISTURBANCE SHOULD BE SLOW TO
OCCUR DURING THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS.  THIS SYSTEM HAS A LOW
CHANCE...20 PERCENT...OF BECOMING A TROPICAL CYCLONE DURING THE
NEXT 48 HOURS AS IT MOVES SLOWLY WESTWARD OR WEST-SOUTHWESTWARD.

ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED DURING THE
NEXT 48 HOURS. 

$$
FORECASTER STEWART/BLAKE