000
ABPZ20 KNHC 292336
TWOEP 

TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
500 PM PDT FRI JUL 29 2011

FOR THE EASTERN NORTH PACIFIC...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE..

A WEAK AREA OF LOW PRESSURE LOCATED ABOUT 400 MILES SOUTHWEST OF THE
PACIFIC COAST OF GUATEMALA CONTINUES TO PRODUCE DISORGANIZED SHOWER
ACTIVITY.  WHILE UPPER-LEVEL WINDS ARE NOT CURRENTLY CONDUCIVE FOR
DEVELOPMENT...THEY COULD BECOME MORE FAVORABLE DURING THE NEXT DAY
OR SO.  THIS SYSTEM HAS A LOW CHANCE...10 PERCENT...OF BECOMING A
TROPICAL CYCLONE AS IT BEGINS TO MOVE SLOWLY WESTWARD OVER THE NEXT
48 HOURS. 

AN AREA OF LOW PRESSURE LOCATED ABOUT 750 MILES SOUTH-SOUTHWEST OF
THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA IS PRODUCING DISORGANIZED
SHOWER AND THUNDERSTORM ACTIVITY.  CONDITIONS APPEAR CONDUCIVE FOR
SOME GRADUAL DEVELOPMENT OF THIS SYSTEM DURING THE NEXT COUPLE OF
DAYS.  THIS SYSTEM HAS A LOW CHANCE...20 PERCENT...OF BECOMING A
TROPICAL CYCLONE DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS AS IT MOVES SLOWLY
WESTWARD OR WEST-SOUTHWESTWARD.

ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED DURING THE
NEXT 48 HOURS. 

$$
FORECASTER BRENNAN