000
ABPZ20 KNHC 291742
TWOEP 

TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
1100 AM PDT FRI JUL 29 2011

FOR THE EASTERN NORTH PACIFIC...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE..

DISORGANIZED CLOUDINESS AND SHOWERS HAVE REDEVELOPED IN ASSOCIATION
WITH AN AREA OF DISTURBED WEATHER SEVERAL HUNDRED MILES SOUTH-
SOUTHWEST OF GUATEMALA. UPPER-LEVEL WINDS ARE NOT CURRENTLY
CONDUCIVE FOR DEVELOPMENT...BUT COULD BECOME MORE FAVORABLE
DURING THE NEXT DAY OR SO. THIS DISTURBANCE HAS A LOW CHANCE...
10 PERCENT...OF BECOMING A TROPICAL CYCLONE DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS
AS IT MOVES LITTLE DURING THE NEXT DAY OR TWO.

SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS HAVE DEVELOPED IN ASSOCIATION WITH AN AREA
OF LOW PRESSURE ABOUT 850 MILES SOUTH-SOUTHWEST OF THE SOUTHERN TIP
OF BAJA CALIFORNIA.  UPPER-LEVEL WINDS APPEAR CONDUCIVE FOR SOME
GRADUAL DEVELOPMENT OF THIS SYSTEM DURING THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS.
THIS SYSTEM HAS A LOW CHANCE...20 PERCENT...OF BECOMING A TROPICAL
CYCLONE DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS AS IT MOVES SLOWLY WESTWARD OR
WEST-SOUTHWESTWARD.

ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED DURING THE
NEXT 48 HOURS. 

$$
FORECASTER KIMBERLAIN