000 ABPZ20 KNHC 161738 TWOEP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 1100 AM PDT SAT JUL 16 2011 FOR THE EASTERN NORTH PACIFIC...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE.. A BROAD LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM LOCATED ALONG THE COAST OF SOUTHEASTERN MEXICO JUST EAST OF PUERTO ANGEL IS PRODUCING A LARGE AREA OF CLOUDINESS AND SHOWERS OVER THE GULF OF TEHUANTEPEC AND ADJACENT LAND AREAS. DEVELOPMENT OF THIS DISTURBANCE...IF ANY...SHOULD BE SLOW TO OCCUR DUE TO INTERACTION WITH LAND. THIS SYSTEM HAS A LOW CHANCE...20 PERCENT...OF BECOMING A TROPICAL CYCLONE DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS AS IT MOVES SLOWLY TOWARD THE WEST OR WEST-NORTHWEST. REGARDLESS OF DEVELOPMENT... LOCALLY HEAVY RAINS COULD OCCUR OVER PORTIONS OF SOUTHEASTERN MEXICO DURING THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS IN ASSOCIATION WITH THIS SYSTEM. A LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM EMERGING OFF THE COAST OF COSTA RICA IS PRODUCING SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS OVER PORTIONS OF CENTRAL AMERICA AND ADJACENT PACIFIC WATERS. ONLY SLOW DEVELOPMENT IS EXPECTED FOR THE NEXT DAY OR TWO DUE TO LAND INTERACTION...BUT ENVIRONMENTAL CONDITIONS APPEAR CONDUCIVE FOR MORE SIGNIFICANT DEVELOPMENT TO OCCUR AFTER THAT TIME. THIS SYSTEM HAS A LOW CHANCE...20 PERCENT...OF BECOMING A TROPICAL CYCLONE DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS AS IT MOVES WEST-NORTHWESTWARD AT 5 TO 10 MPH. LOCALLY HEAVY RAINFALL WILL BE POSSIBLE OVER MUCH OF CENTRAL AMERICA DURING THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS IN ASSOCIATION WITH THIS LARGE DISTURBANCE. ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS. $$ FORECASTER STEWART 000 ABPZ20 KNHC 161738 TWOEP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 1100 AM PDT SAT JUL 16 2011 FOR THE EASTERN NORTH PACIFIC...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE.. A BROAD LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM LOCATED ALONG THE COAST OF SOUTHEASTERN MEXICO JUST EAST OF PUERTO ANGEL IS PRODUCING A LARGE AREA OF CLOUDINESS AND SHOWERS OVER THE GULF OF TEHUANTEPEC AND ADJACENT LAND AREAS. DEVELOPMENT OF THIS DISTURBANCE...IF ANY...SHOULD BE SLOW TO OCCUR DUE TO INTERACTION WITH LAND. THIS SYSTEM HAS A LOW CHANCE...20 PERCENT...OF BECOMING A TROPICAL CYCLONE DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS AS IT MOVES SLOWLY TOWARD THE WEST OR WEST-NORTHWEST. REGARDLESS OF DEVELOPMENT... LOCALLY HEAVY RAINS COULD OCCUR OVER PORTIONS OF SOUTHEASTERN MEXICO DURING THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS IN ASSOCIATION WITH THIS SYSTEM. A LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM EMERGING OFF THE COAST OF COSTA RICA IS PRODUCING SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS OVER PORTIONS OF CENTRAL AMERICA AND ADJACENT PACIFIC WATERS. ONLY SLOW DEVELOPMENT IS EXPECTED FOR THE NEXT DAY OR TWO DUE TO LAND INTERACTION...BUT ENVIRONMENTAL CONDITIONS APPEAR CONDUCIVE FOR MORE SIGNIFICANT DEVELOPMENT TO OCCUR AFTER THAT TIME. THIS SYSTEM HAS A LOW CHANCE...20 PERCENT...OF BECOMING A TROPICAL CYCLONE DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS AS IT MOVES WEST-NORTHWESTWARD AT 5 TO 10 MPH. LOCALLY HEAVY RAINFALL WILL BE POSSIBLE OVER MUCH OF CENTRAL AMERICA DURING THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS IN ASSOCIATION WITH THIS LARGE DISTURBANCE. ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS. $$ FORECASTER STEWART