000
ABPZ20 KNHC 191133
TWOEP 

TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
500 AM PDT SUN JUN 19 2011

FOR THE EASTERN NORTH PACIFIC...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE..

THUNDERSTORM ACTIVITY HAS CONTINUED TO INCREASE OVER THE PAST FEW
HOURS IN ASSOCIATION WITH AN AREA OF LOW PRESSURE LOCATED ABOUT 250
MILES SOUTH OF ACAPULCO MEXICO...AND A TROPICAL DEPRESSION COULD BE
FORMING.  IF CURRENT TRENDS CONTINUE...ADVISORIES WILL LIKELY BE
INITIATED ON THIS SYSTEM LATER THIS MORNING.  THERE IS A HIGH
CHANCE...90 PERCENT...OF THIS LOW BECOMING A TROPICAL CYCLONE
DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS AS IT MOVES WEST-NORTHWESTWARD OR
NORTHWESTWARD AT ABOUT 10 MPH.  INTERESTS ALONG THE SOUTHWESTERN
COAST OF MEXICO SHOULD MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF THIS SYSTEM AS IT
COULD BRING GUSTY WINDS AND HEAVY RAINS TO THE REGION DURING THE
NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS.

ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED DURING THE
NEXT 48 HOURS. 

$$
FORECASTER BRENNAN