000 ABPZ20 KNHC 190929 TWOEP SPECIAL TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 230 AM PDT SUN JUN 19 2011 FOR THE EASTERN NORTH PACIFIC...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE.. DURING THE PAST FEW HOURS...THUNDERSTORM ACTIVITY HAS INCREASED AND BECOME BETTER ORGANIZED NEAR THE CENTER OF A LARGE LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM THAT IS LOCATED ABOUT 280 MILES SOUTH-SOUTHEAST OF ACAPULCO... AND A TROPICAL DEPRESSION MAY BE FORMING. IF THIS RECENT DEVELOPMENT TREND CONTINUES...THEN ADVISORIES COULD BE INITIATED ON THIS SYSTEM LATER THIS MORNING. THERE IS A HIGH CHANCE...90 PERCENT...OF THIS LOW PRESSURE AREA BECOMING A TROPICAL CYCLONE DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS AS IT MOVES WEST-NORTHWESTWARD AT ABOUT 10 MPH. INTERESTS ALONG THE SOUTHWESTERN COAST OF MEXICO SHOULD MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF THIS LARGE DISTURBANCE SINCE IT COULD BRING STRONG GUSTY WINDS AND HEAVY RAINS TO THE REGION DURING THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS. ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS. $$ FORECASTER STEWART