000
ABPZ20 KNHC 190554
TWOEP 

TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
1100 PM PDT SAT JUN 18 2011

FOR THE EASTERN NORTH PACIFIC...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE..

RECENT SATELLITE DATA INDICATE THE LARGE LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM 
CENTERED ABOUT 300 MILES SOUTH-SOUTHEAST OF ACAPULCO HAS CONTINUED
TO BECOME BETTER DEFINED. ALTHOUGH THUNDERSTORM ACTIVITY HAS
CHANGED LITTLE OVER THE PAST SEVERAL HOURS...ENVIRONMENTAL
CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED TO REMAIN SOMEWHAT FAVORABLE FOR A TROPICAL
DEPRESSION TO FORM AS EARLY AS SUNDAY EVENING. THERE IS A HIGH
CHANCE...80 PERCENT...OF THIS SYSTEM BECOMING A TROPICAL CYCLONE
DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS AS IT MOVES WESTWARD TO WEST-NORTHWESTWARD
NEAR 10 MPH.  INTERESTS ALONG THE SOUTHWESTERN COAST OF MEXICO
SHOULD MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF THIS LARGE DISTURBANCE OVER THE NEXT
FEW DAYS.

ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED DURING THE
NEXT 48 HOURS. 

$$
FORECASTER STEWART