000
ABPZ20 KNHC 180542
TWOEP 

TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
1100 PM PDT FRI JUN 17 2011

FOR THE EASTERN NORTH PACIFIC...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE..

A BROAD AREA OF LOW PRESSURE IS LOCATED SEVERAL HUNDRED MILES SOUTH
OF THE GULF OF TEHUANTEPEC.  ALTHOUGH THIS SYSTEM APPEARED TO BE
BECOMING BETTER ORGANIZED EARLIER THIS EVENING...SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS HAVE NOT REMAINED CONCENTRATED NEAR THE CENTER OF
CIRCULATION...AND RECENT SATELLITE DATA SUGGEST THAT THIS CENTER IS
NOT YET WELL DEFINED.  HOWEVER...UPPER-LEVEL WINDS ARE EXPECTED TO
BE CONDUCIVE FOR FURTHER DEVELOPMENT...AND A TROPICAL DEPRESSION
COULD STILL FORM OVER THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS.  THERE IS A HIGH
CHANCE...60 PERCENT...OF THIS SYSTEM BECOMING A TROPICAL CYCLONE
DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS AS IT MOVES WEST TO WEST-NORTHWESTWARD
NEAR 10 MPH.  SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS COULD AFFECT PORTIONS OF
THE COAST OF SOUTHEASTERN MEXICO THROUGH SUNDAY.

ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED DURING THE
NEXT 48 HOURS. 

$$
FORECASTER BERG