000
ABPZ20 KNHC 172353
TWOEP 

TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
500 PM PDT FRI JUN 17 2011

FOR THE EASTERN NORTH PACIFIC...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE..

SHOWER AND THUNDERSTORM ACTIVITY ASSOCIATED WITH A BROAD LOW
PRESSURE SYSTEM CENTERED SEVERAL HUNDRED MILES SOUTH OF THE GULF OF
TEHUANTEPEC HAS CONTINUED TO BECOME A LITTLE BETTER ORGANIZED
DURING THE PAST SEVERAL HOURS.  ENVIRONMENTAL CONDITIONS APPEAR
CONDUCIVE FOR ADDITIONAL DEVELOPMENT...AND A TROPICAL DEPRESSION
COULD FORM OVER THE NEXT DAY OR TWO.  THERE IS A HIGH CHANCE...60
PERCENT...OF THIS SYSTEM BECOMING A TROPICAL CYCLONE DURING THE
NEXT 48 HOURS AS IT MOVES WEST TO WEST-NORTHWESTWARD NEAR 10 MPH. 
REGARDLESS OF FURTHER DEVELOPMENT...SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS COULD
AFFECT PORTIONS OF THE COAST OF SOUTHEASTERN MEXICO THROUGH SUNDAY.

ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED DURING THE
NEXT 48 HOURS. 

$$
FORECASTER BERG

000
ABPZ20 KNHC 172353
TWOEP 

TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
500 PM PDT FRI JUN 17 2011

FOR THE EASTERN NORTH PACIFIC...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE..

SHOWER AND THUNDERSTORM ACTIVITY ASSOCIATED WITH A BROAD LOW
PRESSURE SYSTEM CENTERED SEVERAL HUNDRED MILES SOUTH OF THE GULF OF
TEHUANTEPEC HAS CONTINUED TO BECOME A LITTLE BETTER ORGANIZED
DURING THE PAST SEVERAL HOURS.  ENVIRONMENTAL CONDITIONS APPEAR
CONDUCIVE FOR ADDITIONAL DEVELOPMENT...AND A TROPICAL DEPRESSION
COULD FORM OVER THE NEXT DAY OR TWO.  THERE IS A HIGH CHANCE...60
PERCENT...OF THIS SYSTEM BECOMING A TROPICAL CYCLONE DURING THE
NEXT 48 HOURS AS IT MOVES WEST TO WEST-NORTHWESTWARD NEAR 10 MPH. 
REGARDLESS OF FURTHER DEVELOPMENT...SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS COULD
AFFECT PORTIONS OF THE COAST OF SOUTHEASTERN MEXICO THROUGH SUNDAY.

ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED DURING THE
NEXT 48 HOURS. 

$$
FORECASTER BERG