000 ABPZ20 KNHC 170538 TWOEP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 1100 PM PDT THU JUN 16 2011 FOR THE EASTERN NORTH PACIFIC...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE.. A BROAD AREA LOW PRESSURE...LOCATED SEVERAL HUNDRED MILES SOUTH OF THE GULF OF TEHUANTEPEC...HAS NOT BEEN PRODUCING CONCENTRATED SHOWER AND THUNDERSTORM ACTIVITY FOR THE LAST DAY OR SO. HOWEVER...THE LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION IS SLOWLY BECOMING BETTER DEFINED...AND ENVIRONMENTAL CONDITIONS STILL APPEAR GENERALLY CONDUCIVE FOR DEVELOPMENT OF THIS SYSTEM DURING THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS. THERE IS A MEDIUM CHANCE...40 PERCENT...OF THIS SYSTEM BECOMING A TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER THE NEXT 48 HOURS AS IT MOVES WEST-NORTHWESTWARD AT 5 TO 10 MPH. ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS. $$ FORECASTER BERG