000 ABPZ20 KNHC 161132 TWOEP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 500 AM PDT THU JUN 16 2011 FOR THE EASTERN NORTH PACIFIC...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE.. A BROAD SURFACE TROUGH OF LOW PRESSURE IS LOCATED SEVERAL HUNDRED MILES TO THE SOUTH OF GUATEMALA AND SOUTHEASTERN MEXICO. ALTHOUGH THE ASSOCIATED SHOWER AND THUNDERSTORM ACTIVITY REMAINS SOMEWHAT LIMITED AND DISORGANIZED AT THIS TIME...ENVIRONMENTAL CONDITIONS ARE CONDUCIVE FOR A GRADUAL DEVELOPMENT OF THIS SYSTEM DURING THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS. THERE IS A MEDIUM CHANCE...30 PERCENT...OF THIS SYSTEM BECOMING A TROPICAL CYCLONE DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS AS IT BEGINS TO MOVE SLOWLY WEST-NORTHWESTWARD. ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS. $$ FORECASTER KIMBERLAIN