000 ABPZ20 KNHC 151735 TWOEP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 1100 AM PDT WED JUN 15 2011 FOR THE EASTERN NORTH PACIFIC...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE.. SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS ASSOCIATED WITH AN ELONGATED SURFACE TROUGH OF LOW PRESSURE EXTEND FROM CENTRAL AMERICA WESTWARD FOR SEVERAL HUNDRED MILES. ALTHOUGH THIS SYSTEM HAS CHANGED LITTLE IN ORGANIZATION DURING THE PAST SEVERAL HOURS...ENVIRONMENTAL CONDITIONS APPEAR CONDUCIVE FOR A GRADUAL DEVELOPMENT OF THIS SYSTEM DURING THE NEXT SEVERAL DAYS. HOWEVER...THERE IS A LOW CHANCE...10 PERCENT...OF TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS. $$ FORECASTER KIMBERLAIN