000 ABPZ20 KNHC 150535 TWOEP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 1100 PM PDT TUE JUN 14 2011 FOR THE EASTERN NORTH PACIFIC...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE.. DISORGANIZED SHOWER AND THUNDERSTORM ACTIVITY EXTENDING FROM COSTA RICA WEST-SOUTHWESTWARD FOR SEVERAL HUNDRED MILES IS ASSOCIATED WITH AN ELONGATED SURFACE TROUGH OF LOW PRESSURE. ENVIRONMENTAL CONDITIONS APPEAR CONDUCIVE FOR SOME SLOW DEVELOPMENT OF THIS SYSTEM OVER THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS...BUT THERE IS A LOW CHANCE... 10 PERCENT...OF TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS. $$ FORECASTER BERG