000 ABPZ20 KNHC 142354 TWOEP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 500 PM PDT TUE JUN 14 2011 FOR THE EASTERN NORTH PACIFIC...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE.. AN ELONGATED AREA OF DISORGANIZED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS EXTENDS FROM CENTRAL AMERICA WESTWARD TO SEVERAL HUNDRED MILES SOUTH OF THE GULF OF TEHUANTEPEC. ENVIRONMENTAL CONDITIONS APPEAR SOMEWHAT CONDUCIVE FOR DEVELOPMENT...AND THERE IS A LOW CHANCE...10 PERCENT...OF A TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMING WITHIN THIS AREA DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS. $$ FORECASTER BERG