000
ABPZ20 KNHC 172238
TWOEP 
TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
400 PM PDT MON SEP 17 2007

FOR THE EASTERN NORTH PACIFIC...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE.

AN AREA OF LOW PRESSURE CENTERED ABOUT 450 MILES SOUTH-SOUTHWEST OF
MANZANILLO MEXICO IS MOVING WEST-NORTHWESTWARD AT ABOUT 15 MPH.  THE
CIRCULATION APPEARS WELL-DEFINED...BUT THE ASSOCIATED THUNDERSTORM
ACTIVITY HAS BEEN DISORGANIZED THIS AFTERNOON.  CONDITIONS APPEAR
FAVORABLE FOR DEVELOPMENT OF THIS SYSTEM...AND IT COULD BECOME A
TROPICAL DEPRESSION DURING THE NEXT DAY OR TWO.

SHOWER ACTIVITY HAS MOSTLY DIMINISHED IN ASSOCIATION WITH A WEAK LOW
PRESSURE AREA LOCATED ABOUT 650 MILES SOUTHWEST OF THE SOUTHERN TIP
OF BAJA CALIFORNIA.  DEVELOPMENT OF THIS SYSTEM APPEARS UNLIKELY
DURING THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS AS IT MOVES WESTWARD AT ABOUT 10
MPH.

A LOW PRESSURE AREA CENTERED ABOUT 1300 MILES WEST-SOUTHWEST OF THE
SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA IS PRODUCING DISORGANIZED SHOWERS
AND THUNDERSTORMS.  ANY DEVELOPMENT OF THIS SYSTEM SHOULD BE SLOW
TO OCCUR AS IT DRIFTS GENERALLY WESTWARD DURING THE NEXT COUPLE OF
DAYS.

ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED DURING THE
NEXT 48 HOURS.

$$

FORECASTER KNABB