000
ABPZ20 KNHC 141609
TWOEP 
TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
1000 AM PDT SAT OCT 14 2006

FOR THE EASTERN NORTH PACIFIC...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE..

THE AREA OF DISTURBED WEATHER PRIMARILY ASSOCIATED WITH A BROAD AREA
OF LOW PRESSURE AND THE REMNANTS OF NORMAN IS CENTERED A FEW
HUNDRED MILES SOUTH OF MANZANILLO MEXICO.  VERY HEAVY RAINS ARE
OCCURRING OVER A LARGE PORTION OF SOUTHWESTERN MEXICO AND THESE
RAINS COULD CAUSE LIFE-THREATENING FLASH FLOODS AND MUD SLIDES.
ALTHOUGH THIS SYSTEM HAS BECOME LESS ORGANIZED TODAY...THERE IS
STILL THE POTENTIAL FOR TROPICAL DEPRESSION FORMATION DURING THE
DAY OR SO AS THE DISTURBANCE MOVES SLOWLY NORTHWARD.

ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH SUNDAY.

$$
FORECASTER AVILA/BLAKE