000
ABPZ20 KNHC 130336
TWOEP 
TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
1000 PM PDT THU OCT 12 2006

FOR THE EASTERN NORTH PACIFIC...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE..

SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS ASSOCIATED WITH THE LARGE AREA OF
DISTURBED WEATHER...SOUTH OF THE COAST OF MEXICO...HAVE BECOME MORE
CONCENTRATED SOUTH OF MANZANILLO THIS EVENING.  GRADUAL DEVELOPMENT
OF THIS SYSTEM IS POSSIBLE DURING THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS AS IT
MOVES SLOWLY WESTWARD.  DUE TO THE CLOSE PROXIMITY OF THE SYSTEM TO
MAINLAND MEXICO...LOCALLY HEAVY RAINS ARE POSSIBLE ALONG THE COAST
AND IN NEARBY MOUNTAINOUS AREAS. 

THE REMNANT LOW OF FORMER TROPICAL DEPRESSION OLIVIA IS LOCATED
ABOUT 710 MILES SOUTHWEST OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA.
WHILE THE LOW COULD STILL PRODUCE INTERMITTENT SHOWER ACTIVITY...
REGENERATION INTO A TROPICAL DEPRESSION IS NOT EXPECTED.

THE REMNANT LOW OF FORMER TROPICAL DEPRESSION NORMAN...LOCATED
ABOUT 175 MILES SOUTH-SOUTHWEST OF SOCORRO ISLAND...CONTINUES TO
MOVE SLOWLY EASTWARD. REDEVELOPMENT IS NOT LIKELY.

AN AREA OF DISTURBED WEATHER PERSISTS ABOUT 2050 MILES WEST-
SOUTHWEST OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA.  UPPER-LEVEL
WINDS ARE ONLY MARGINALLY FAVORABLE...AND DEVELOPMENT...IF ANY
SHOULD BE SLOW TO OCCUR.

ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH
SATURDAY.

$$
FORECASTER MAINELLI/BEVEN