000 ACPN50 PHFO 160014 RRA TWOCP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NWS CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER HONOLULU HI 200 PM HST THU AUG 15 2013 FOR THE CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC...BETWEEN 140W AND 180 1. AN AREA OF LOW PRESSURE CENTERED ABOUT 675 MILES SOUTH-SOUTHWEST OF KAUAI IS MOVING WEST NEAR 20 MPH. THIS SYSTEM HAS SHOWN SIGNS OF SLOWLY IMPROVED ORGANIZATION IN THE PAST 12 HOURS...AND A TROPICAL DEPRESSION MAY BE DEVELOPING. ENVIRONMENTAL CONDITIONS APPEAR TO BE CONDUCIVE FOR FURTHER DEVELOPMENT...AND THIS SYSTEM HAS A HIGH CHANCE...80 PERCENT...OF BECOMING A TROPICAL CYCLONE DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS. 2. AN AREA OF LOW PRESSURE ABOUT 1175 MILES SOUTHWEST OF KAUAI HAS SHOWN SIGNS OF INCREASED ORGANIZATION OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS...WITH THUNDERSTORMS INCREASING IN COVERAGE AND INTENSITY. CONDITIONS ARE CONDUCIVE FOR DEVELOPMENT AS THIS FEATURE MOVES WEST NEAR 20 MPH. THIS SYSTEM HAS A HIGH CHANCE...80 PERCENT...OF BECOMING A TROPICAL CYCLONE DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS. 3. A SURFACE TROUGH ABOUT 525 MILES SOUTH-SOUTHEAST OF HILO HAWAII IS PRODUCING DISORGANIZED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS AS IT MOVES WEST AT 15 TO 20 MPH. ENVIRONMENTAL CONDITIONS ARE NOT CONDUCIVE FOR FURTHER DEVELOPMENT...AND THIS SYSTEM HAS A LOW CHANCE...NEAR 0 PERCENT...OF BECOMING A TROPICAL CYCLONE DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS. ELSEWHERE...NO TROPICAL CYCLONES ARE EXPECTED THROUGH SATURDAY AFTERNOON. $$ DWROE