000
ACPN50 PHFO 150600
TWOCP 

TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER HONOLULU HI
800 PM HST WED AUG 14 2013

FOR THE CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC...BETWEEN 140W AND 180

1. AN ELONGATED TROUGH OF LOW PRESSURE ABOUT 1125 MILES SOUTHWEST OF 
KAUAI IS PRODUCING DISORGANIZED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. FURTHER 
DEVELOPMENT...IF ANY...WILL BE SLOW TO OCCUR...AS THIS TROUGH MOVES 
WEST AT ABOUT 15 MPH. THERE IS A LOW CHANCE...NEAR 20 PERCENT...THAT 
THIS DISTURBANCE WILL DEVELOP INTO A TROPICAL CYCLONE IN THE NEXT 
48 HOURS.

2. AN AREA OF LOW PRESSURE CENTERED ABOUT 475 MILES SOUTH OF THE BIG 
ISLAND OF HAWAII IS MOVING WEST AT 15 TO 20 MPH. THIS SYSTEM HAS 
SHOWN SOME IMPROVEMENT IN ORGANIZATION OVER THE LAST 6 TO 12 HOURS. 
FURTHER DEVELOPMENT...IF ANY...WILL BE SLOW TO OCCUR...AND THIS 
SYSTEM HAS A LOW CHANCE...NEAR 20 PERCENT...OF BECOMING A TROPICAL 
CYCLONE DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS.

3. A SURFACE TROUGH ABOUT 750 MILES SOUTHEAST OF HILO HAWAII IS 
MOVING WEST NEAR 20 MPH. THIS SYSTEM HAS BECOME LESS ORGANIZED OVER 
THE PAST 6 TO 12 HOURS...AND ENVIRONMENTAL CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED 
TO BECOME LESS CONDUCIVE FOR DEVELOPMENT DURING THE NEXT COUPLE OF 
DAYS. THIS SYSTEM HAS A LOW CHANCE...NEAR 0 PERCENT...OF BECOMING A 
TROPICAL CYCLONE DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS. 

ELSEWHERE...NO TROPICAL CYCLONES ARE EXPECTED THROUGH FRIDAY EVENING.

$$

BIRCHARD