656 
ABNT20 KNHC 151715
TWOAT 

Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
200 PM EDT Tue Jul 15 2025

For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of America:

Florida Peninsula into the Northeastern Gulf (AL93):
Satellite and radar data indicate that the low pressure area 
previously over the Atlantic is moving onto the coast of 
northeastern Florida.  This system is currently producing 
disorganized shower and thunderstorm activity, and little 
development is expected through tonight while the center is over 
land. Once the system reaches the northeastern Gulf on Wednesday, 
environmental conditions appear generally favorable for additional 
development, and a tropical depression could form while the system 
moves across the northeastern and north-central Gulf and approaches 
the coast of Louisiana on Thursday.

Regardless of development, heavy rainfall could produce localized 
flash flooding over portions of Florida through Wednesday. Heavy 
rainfall could also cause flash flooding for portions of the 
north-central Gulf Coast beginning Wednesday and continuing through 
Friday. For additional information, please refer to products issued 
by your local National Weather Service office.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...medium...40 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days...medium...40 percent.

$$
Forecaster Beven