000
ABNT20 KNHC 160500
TWOAT 

Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
200 AM EDT Wed Oct 16 2024

For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:

Central Tropical Atlantic (AL94):
A broad area of low pressure located over the central tropical 
Atlantic is producing disorganized showers and thunderstorms. This 
system is forecast to move generally westward to west-northwestward, 
and environmental conditions appear marginally conducive for gradual 
development during the latter part of this week. A tropical 
depression could form as the system moves near the Leeward and 
Virgin Islands late this week.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...30 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days...medium...50 percent.

Western Caribbean Sea:
Showers and thunderstorms in the southwestern Caribbean Sea are 
associated with a broad area of low pressure. Some gradual 
development is possible if the system stays over water while it 
moves slowly northwestward towards Central America. Regardless of 
development, locally heavy rainfall is possible across portions of 
Central America later this week.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...10 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days...low...20 percent.

$$
Forecaster Hagen