000
ABNT20 KNHC 272334
TWOAT 

Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
800 PM EDT Thu Jun 27 2024

For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:

Western Caribbean/Southwestern Gulf of Mexico (AL94):
A broad area of low pressure over the western Caribbean Sea is 
producing widespread but disorganized shower and thunderstorm 
activity while it moves west-northwestward at around 15 mph.  Some 
development of this system is possible over the northwestern 
Caribbean Sea or over the southwestern Gulf of Mexico during the 
next few days.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...20 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days...low...30 percent.

Eastern Tropical Atlantic (AL95):
A tropical wave located several hundred miles west-southwest of the 
Cabo Verde Islands continues to produce showers and thunderstorms. 
This activity is beginning to show signs of organization, and 
environmental conditions are forecast to remain conducive. Thus, 
further development of this system is anticipated, and a tropical 
depression or tropical storm is likely to form over the next couple 
of days while the system moves westward at 15 to 20 mph towards the 
Windward Islands.  Interests in the Lesser Antilles should monitor 
the progress of this system.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...high...70 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days...high...90 percent.

$$
Forecaster Kelly