000
ABNT20 KNHC 201142
TWOAT 

Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
700 AM EST Mon Nov 20 2023

For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:

Central Caribbean Sea:
Shower and thunderstorm activity has increased somewhat in 
association with a small area of low pressure located over the 
central Caribbean Sea. However, environmental dry air is still 
likely to prevent significant development of this system as it 
begins to drift slowly westward later this week.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...10 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days...low...10 percent.

Central Subtropical Atlantic:
A non-tropical area of low pressure is forecast to develop along a 
front over the central portion of the Atlantic basin during the next 
couple of days. Thereafter, environmental conditions appear somewhat 
conducive for this system to gradually acquire some subtropical or 
tropical characteristics during the latter part of this week while 
it moves generally eastward across the central subtropical Atlantic.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days...low...30 percent.

$$
Forecaster Papin