000
ABNT20 KNHC 141727
TWOAT 

Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
100 PM EST Tue Nov 14 2023

For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:

Southwestern Caribbean Sea:
A large area of disorganized showers and thunderstorms over the 
southwestern Caribbean Sea is associated with a broad trough of low 
pressure.  Environmental conditions appear conducive for 
development of this system, and a tropical depression is likely to 
form during the latter part of the week while moving northeastward 
across the western and central portions of the Caribbean Sea.  
Interests in Jamaica, Cuba, Haiti, the Dominican Republic, the 
southeastern Bahamas, and the Turks and Caicos Islands should 
monitor the progress of this system.  Regardless of development, 
this system has the potential to produce heavy rains over portions 
of the Caribbean coast of Central America and the Greater Antilles 
through the end of this week.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...20 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days...high...70 percent.

$$
Forecaster Berg