000 ABNT20 KNHC 041714 TWOAT Tropical Weather Outlook NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL 200 PM EDT Sat Nov 4 2023 For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico: Western Caribbean Sea (AL97): Satellite data and surface observations indicate that the low pressure system over the western Caribbean Sea is now located just off the coast of Costa Rica and Nicaragua. The associated showers and thunderstorms have become less organized during the past few hours, and development of this system appears unlikely before it moves inland over Central America tonight or early Sunday. Regardless of development, this system is expected to bring heavy rains to portions of Central America during the next couple of days. This rainfall could produce flash flooding, along with mudslides in higher terrain areas. For additional information about this system, see forecast products issued by your national meteorological service. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...10 percent. * Formation chance through 7 days...low...10 percent. $$ Forecaster Cangialosi