000
ABNT20 KNHC 041123
TWOAT 

Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
800 AM EDT Sat Nov 4 2023

For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:

Western Caribbean Sea (AL97): 
Surface observations and overnight satellite-derived wind data 
indicate that the area of low pressure that we have been monitoring 
during the past few days over the western Caribbean has reformed 
about 100 miles east of the Nicaragua/Costa Rica border.  Showers 
and thunderstorms have increased associated with the low pressure 
system, and surface pressures have fallen during the past several 
hours.  Some gradual development of this system is possible before 
it moves inland over Central America tonight or Sunday.  Regardless 
of development, this system is expected to bring heavy rains to 
portions of Central America this weekend.  This rainfall could 
produce flash flooding, along with mudslides in higher terrain 
areas.  For additional information about this system, see forecast 
products issued by your national meteorological service. 
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...20 percent. 
* Formation chance through 7 days...low...20 percent.

$$
Forecaster Roberts