000
ABNT20 KNHC 302346
TWOAT 

Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
800 PM EDT Mon Oct 30 2023

For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:

Eastern Caribbean Sea:
A trough of low pressure over the eastern Caribbean Sea is producing 
a large area of showers and thunderstorms that is beginning to show 
signs of organization.  This system is expected to move westward 
during the next several days, and environmental conditions appear 
conducive for additional development.  A tropical depression is 
likely to form by the latter part of this week as the system enters 
the central or southwestern Caribbean Sea. Regardless of 
development, this system has the potential to produce heavy rains 
over portions of Central America towards the end of this week. 
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...30 percent. 
* Formation chance through 7 days...high...70 percent.

Southwestern Atlantic Ocean (AL96):
Shower and thunderstorm activity has become minimal with a 
well-defined area of low pressure about 80 miles east of the 
northwestern Bahamas. This system is embedded in a region of very 
dry mid-latitude air with strong upper-level winds, and additional 
development of this system is no longer anticipated. The system 
is forecast to turn slowly northward and then northeastward by the 
middle part of this week.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days...low...near 0 percent.

$$
Forecaster Papin