000
ABNT20 KNHC 301754
TWOAT 

Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
200 PM EDT Mon Oct 30 2023

For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:

Southwestern Atlantic Ocean (AL96):
An area of low pressure with associated disorganized showers is 
located about 100 miles east of the northwestern Bahamas.  This 
system is moving into an area of strong upper-level winds and dry 
air, and the chances of it becoming a short-lived tropical storm are 
decreasing.  The low is expected to move slowly northwestward today 
and then turn northward and northeastward on Tuesday and Wednesday.  
Additional information on this system, including gale warnings, can 
be found in High Seas Forecasts issued by the National Weather 
Service. 
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...10 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days...low...10 percent.

Southwestern Caribbean Sea:
A trough of low pressure over the eastern Caribbean Sea is producing 
disorganized showers and thunderstorms.  This system is expected to 
move westward during the next several days, and environmental 
conditions appear conducive for gradual development.  A tropical 
depression could form late this week when the system reaches the 
central or southwestern Caribbean Sea.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...20 percent. 
* Formation chance through 7 days...medium...60 percent.

&&
High Seas Forecasts issued by the National Weather Service
can be found under AWIPS header NFDHSFAT1, WMO header FZNT01 
KWBC, and online at ocean.weather.gov/shtml/NFDHSFAT1.php

$$
Forecaster Blake