000
ABNT20 KNHC 301150
TWOAT 

Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
800 AM EDT Mon Oct 30 2023

For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:

Southwestern Atlantic Ocean (AL96):
An area of low pressure with associated disorganized showers 
and thunderstorms is located a couple of hundred miles east of the 
northwestern Bahamas.  This system is moving into an area of strong 
upper-level winds and dry air, and the chances of it becoming a 
short-lived tropical storm appear to be decreasing.  The low is 
expected to move slowly west-northwestward today and then turn 
northward and northeastward on Tuesday and Wednesday.  Additional 
information on this system, including gale warnings, can be found in 
High Seas Forecasts issued by the National Weather Service. 
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...20 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days...low...20 percent.

Southwestern Caribbean Sea:
A trough of low pressure over the eastern Caribbean Sea is 
associated with disorganized showers and thunderstorms.  This system 
is expected to move westward during the next several days, and 
environmental conditions appear conducive for gradual development.  
A tropical depression could form late this week when the system 
reaches the central or southwestern Caribbean Sea.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...10 percent. 
* Formation chance through 7 days...medium...50 percent.

&&
High Seas Forecasts issued by the National Weather Service
can be found under AWIPS header NFDHSFAT1, WMO header FZNT01 
KWBC, and online at ocean.weather.gov/shtml/NFDHSFAT1.php

$$
Forecaster Bucci