000
ABNT20 KNHC 291749
TWOAT 

Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
200 PM EDT Sun Oct 29 2023

For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:

Southwestern Atlantic Ocean (AL96):
An Air Force Reserve reconnaissance aircraft is currently 
investigating a broad area of low pressure located a couple of 
hundred miles east of the central Bahamas.  Early indications 
from the plane and satellite data are that the system does not have 
a well-defined surface circulation.  Environmental conditions are 
becoming less conducive for development, though a short-lived 
tropical depression or storm could still form during the next day or 
so while the system moves west-northwestward to northwestward.  By 
Tuesday, however, strong upper-level winds and dry air should end 
the chances of further development while it turns northward.  
* Formation chance through 48 hours...medium...60 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days...medium...60 percent.

Southwestern Caribbean Sea:
A broad area of low pressure could form in a few days over the 
central or southwestern Caribbean Sea.  Gradual development 
thereafter is possible while the system moves generally westward at 
10 to 15 mph.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days...low...20 percent.

$$
Forecaster Bucci